xGenie signal

Built for Insight
Model-led football market intelligence
Football market intelligence, built like a terminal.
xGenie turns fixture data, model probability, market price and risk context into clear football betting decisions.
xGenie signal

Built for Insight
Model-led football market intelligence
Football market intelligence, built like a terminal.
Sample model workspace - live outputs coming later.Market Workspace
Man City vs Aston Villa
Market: Home Win
Arsenal vs Newcastle
Market: Over 2.5
Inter vs Milan
Market: BTTS Yes
Dortmund vs Leverkusen
Market: Over 2.5
PSG vs Lille
Market: Home Win
Real Sociedad vs Sevilla
Market: Under 2.5
Selected Match Intelligence
Model Edge Curve
Sample dataExpected value progression across signal stages.
Product workspace
xGenie is designed as a decision-support terminal, with pricing, risk and rationale visible in one view.
Ranked opportunities by fair price gap, EV profile and execution readiness.
Match context, market setup and key inputs collected in one panel.
Lineups, volatility and liquidity context surfaced before any bet decision.
Systematic rejection of low-quality prices to protect process integrity.
Structured history designed for auditability instead of selective reporting.
Measure whether your process is beating market closes over time.
Market coverage
xGenie starts with high-liquidity football markets before expanding into more fragile props.
Current focus market
CoreCurrent focus market
CoreCurrent focus market
CoreCurrent focus market
CoreCurrent focus market
CorePlanned expansion
LaterModel workflow
Each step is tracked so users can understand why a market is qualified, watched, or rejected.
Step 1
Competition context, schedule load, and baseline team inputs.
480+ weekly fixturesStep 2
Outcome likelihood estimated with calibrated football model assumptions.
BTTS 56.8%Step 3
Probability translated into fair market pricing for execution decisions.
Fair 1.76Step 4
Best available price compared against fair line and minimum threshold.
Best 1.91Step 5
Lineups, liquidity, and volatility flags are applied before status assignment.
3 active flagsStep 6
Qualified, Watch, or No Bet with explanation and preview stake guidance.
QualifiedFuture feature preview
Future xGenie tools will let users analyse their betting history by market, price, closing-line movement, risk profile and result quality.
Future feature preview
| Date | Fixture | Market | Price taken | Closing price | CLV | Result | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Inter vs Roma | BTTS Yes | 1.84 | 1.77 | +3.8% | Win | Edge held into close |
| 2026-06-12 | Liverpool vs Brighton | Over 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.95 | -1.0% | Loss | No edge at close |
| 2026-06-13 | PSG vs Lille | Home Win | 1.62 | 1.57 | +3.1% | Win | Qualified via price drift |
| 2026-06-14 | Milan vs Lazio | Draw No Bet | 1.88 | 1.88 | 0.0% | Push | Flat close |
Discipline simulation
Sample outputs show drawdown preview, no-bet rate and variance context. These are examples only, not performance claims.
Simulation preview
Bankroll drawdown preview
-9.2%Simulated variance path
14-week sampleNo-bet rate
41%Qualified edge distribution
+1.2% to +9.4%Risk exposure
MediumVariance Path Preview
Sample dataSimulated bankroll index path across nine sample weeks.
Pricing
Start with a lightweight view of the model, then upgrade for full boards, tracking and advanced workflow tools.
Core model view for disciplined weekly checks.
Full edge workflow with extended markets and player-level context.
Power-user execution tier with advanced monitoring and workflow controls.
Waitlist
Sample model workspace - live outputs coming later. Join the waitlist for phased access updates.
Preview access notes